Will "pair" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 51% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

66 of 1936 launches in the last hour referenced "pair" (10 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 2.83×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3870325244388488,
      "momentum": 1.0386494152664332,
      "diversity": -0.7181818181818181
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5134342809657361
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "pair",
    "rank60": 4,
    "share15": 0.097,
    "share60": 0.03433144037170883,
    "total15": 499,
    "total60": 1936,
    "momentum": 2.825398496240602,
    "diversity": 0.15151515151515152,
    "launches15": 48,
    "launches60": 66,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 10
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 220,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9952077777777778,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.999800324074074
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5134342809657361
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0025937667256782904,
  "shareRatio": 0.8148311825041662,
  "totalAfter": 48578,
  "shareBefore": 0.0031839566601720285,
  "totalBefore": 42086,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 126,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 134
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity