Will "pairburn" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 52% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

59 of 1936 launches in the last hour referenced "pairburn" (4 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 3.22×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3702149297207429,
      "momentum": 1.1702839220078647,
      "diversity": -0.8186440677966101
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5152271378349527
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "pairburn",
    "rank60": 8,
    "share15": 0.099,
    "share60": 0.030717604543107898,
    "total15": 499,
    "total60": 1936,
    "momentum": 3.22290756302521,
    "diversity": 0.06779661016949153,
    "launches15": 49,
    "launches60": 59,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 4
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 220,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9952077777777778,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.999800324074074
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5152271378349527
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0002470254024455515,
  "shareRatio": 0.18200882526789508,
  "totalAfter": 48578,
  "shareBefore": 0.0014018913652996245,
  "totalBefore": 42086,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 12,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 59
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity