Will "coge" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 57% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

59 of 1428 launches in the last hour referenced "coge" (35 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 1.52×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3702149297207429,
      "momentum": 0.41635198844549504,
      "diversity": -0.18813559322033901
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5740589964489679
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "coge",
    "rank60": 3,
    "share15": 0.06313993174061433,
    "share60": 0.04163750874737579,
    "total15": 292,
    "total60": 1428,
    "momentum": 1.5164195370981155,
    "diversity": 0.5932203389830508,
    "launches15": 18,
    "launches60": 59,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 35
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 178,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9976913888888889,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9976913888888889
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5740589964489679
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0,
  "shareRatio": 0.009885496446322584,
  "totalAfter": 1218,
  "shareBefore": 0.041172365666434056,
  "totalBefore": 1433,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 0,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 59
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity