Will "different" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 18% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

28 of 1428 launches in the last hour referenced "different" (16 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 0.09×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.2584149896611655,
      "momentum": -2.45849369892175,
      "diversity": -0.21428571428571433
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.18135676471549123
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "different",
    "rank60": 9,
    "share15": 0.0017064846416382253,
    "share60": 0.01994401679496151,
    "total15": 292,
    "total60": 1428,
    "momentum": 0.08556373869828154,
    "diversity": 0.5714285714285714,
    "launches15": 0,
    "launches60": 28,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 16
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 178,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9976913888888889,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999038078703704
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.18135676471549123
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0010523057876818322,
  "shareRatio": 0.5423642190901714,
  "totalAfter": 48465,
  "shareBefore": 0.0019473734207276527,
  "totalBefore": 42108,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 51,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 82
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity