Will "bot" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 30% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

5 of 1310 launches in the last hour referenced "bot" (3 distinct creators, rank #121). Last 15m momentum 0.39×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0,
      "momentum": -0.9526910659324163,
      "diversity": -0.18000000000000002
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.2960152891269715
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "bot",
    "rank60": 121,
    "share15": 0.0016181229773462784,
    "share60": 0.004195270785659802,
    "total15": 308,
    "total60": 1310,
    "momentum": 0.38570167696381286,
    "diversity": 0.6,
    "launches15": 0,
    "launches60": 5,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 3
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 167,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9946475,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9997769791666666
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.2960152891269715
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.007859721505930893,
  "shareRatio": 1.111014546919519,
  "totalAfter": 48475,
  "shareBefore": 0.007071765322158198,
  "totalBefore": 41998,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 381,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 297
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity