Will "golden" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 41% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

9 of 1207 launches in the last hour referenced "golden" (7 distinct creators, rank #61). Last 15m momentum 0.79×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.08816799973531786,
      "momentum": -0.23804303816025685,
      "diversity": 0.03333333333333335
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.4113782081314774
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "golden",
    "rank60": 61,
    "share15": 0.006198347107438017,
    "share60": 0.007864238410596027,
    "total15": 241,
    "total60": 1207,
    "momentum": 0.7881687690300131,
    "diversity": 0.7777777777777778,
    "launches15": 1,
    "launches60": 9,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 7
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 179,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9918569444444445,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9996607060185185
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.4113782081314774
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.004848159762337019,
  "shareRatio": 1.4577213919554817,
  "totalAfter": 48472,
  "shareBefore": 0.003320989129136304,
  "totalBefore": 41855,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 235,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 139
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity