Will "tiny" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 52% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

15 of 1608 launches in the last hour referenced "tiny" (10 distinct creators, rank #48). Last 15m momentum 1.60×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.16479184330021643,
      "momentum": 0.4716974662863922,
      "diversity": -0.10000000000000005
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5188766531259567
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "tiny",
    "rank60": 48,
    "share15": 0.015439429928741092,
    "share60": 0.009633312616532008,
    "total15": 420,
    "total60": 1608,
    "momentum": 1.602712435828672,
    "diversity": 0.6666666666666666,
    "launches15": 6,
    "launches60": 15,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 10
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 184,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.995755,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9992925
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5188766531259567
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.002400066208722999,
  "shareRatio": 0.7523472059221812,
  "totalAfter": 12083,
  "shareBefore": 0.003186216662733066,
  "totalBefore": 8474,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 29,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 27
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity