Will "money" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 33% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

63 of 1721 launches in the last hour referenced "money" (4 distinct creators, rank #7). Last 15m momentum 0.88×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3800545220936148,
      "momentum": -0.13267245922669546,
      "diversity": -0.8238095238095238
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.33103686223597156
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "money",
    "rank60": 7,
    "share15": 0.03229398663697105,
    "share60": 0.036875725900116146,
    "total15": 448,
    "total60": 1721,
    "momentum": 0.8757518895884117,
    "diversity": 0.06349206349206349,
    "launches15": 14,
    "launches60": 63,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 4
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 176,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9932416666666667,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9988736111111111
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.33103686223597156
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.03392141138732959,
  "shareRatio": 2.882948739583296,
  "totalAfter": 12470,
  "shareBefore": 0.011721955222131052,
  "totalBefore": 8531,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 423,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 100
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity