Will "mascot" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 56% → ACCELERATES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

40 of 1582 launches in the last hour referenced "mascot" (8 distinct creators, rank #10). Last 15m momentum 3.06×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3119162312519754,
      "momentum": 1.1168260696534231,
      "diversity": -0.66
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5592502049661913
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "mascot",
    "rank60": 10,
    "share15": 0.07816377171215881,
    "share60": 0.025584333543903978,
    "total15": 402,
    "total60": 1582,
    "momentum": 3.0551419906258617,
    "diversity": 0.2,
    "launches15": 31,
    "launches60": 40,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 8
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 201,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9929352777777778,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9988225462962963
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5592502049661913
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.019869370917841182,
  "shareRatio": 1.4288761239354757,
  "totalAfter": 14545,
  "shareBefore": 0.0138729649163036,
  "totalBefore": 8722,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 289,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 121
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity