Will "monero" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 53% → ACCELERATES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

42 of 2226 launches in the last hour referenced "monero" (32 distinct creators, rank #11). Last 15m momentum 1.71×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3192347558773902,
      "momentum": 0.5390803898313479,
      "diversity": 0.014285714285714235
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5340224519214912
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "monero",
    "rank60": 11,
    "share15": 0.03271812080536913,
    "share60": 0.019083969465648856,
    "total15": 595,
    "total60": 2226,
    "momentum": 1.7144295302013424,
    "diversity": 0.7619047619047619,
    "launches15": 19,
    "launches60": 42,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 32
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 316,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9970811111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998783796296297
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5340224519214912
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0021640763328742867,
  "shareRatio": 1.455815809524686,
  "totalAfter": 45747,
  "shareBefore": 0.0014827795376423805,
  "totalBefore": 44511,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 99,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 66
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity