Will "paws" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 59% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

101 of 2501 launches in the last hour referenced "paws" (51 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 1.69×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.45085239066107385,
      "momentum": 0.5275083501095582,
      "diversity": -0.29405940594059404
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5949101122711482
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "paws",
    "rank60": 3,
    "share15": 0.06875,
    "share60": 0.040567545963229416,
    "total15": 559,
    "total60": 2501,
    "momentum": 1.6947044334975372,
    "diversity": 0.504950495049505,
    "launches15": 38,
    "launches60": 101,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 51
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 410,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9996527777777777,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9996527777777777
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5949101122711482
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.009764035801464606,
  "shareRatio": 0.246189227468413,
  "totalAfter": 2458,
  "shareBefore": 0.04028719585161548,
  "totalBefore": 2507,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 24,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 101
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity