Will "hire" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 47% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

110 of 2641 launches in the last hour referenced "hire" (29 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 1.56×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.4636563680037474,
      "momentum": 0.44424685630347793,
      "diversity": -0.5836363636363636
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.4655878468554516
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "hire",
    "rank60": 4,
    "share15": 0.06521739130434782,
    "share60": 0.04182437547312642,
    "total15": 804,
    "total60": 2641,
    "momentum": 1.5593153649419635,
    "diversity": 0.2636363636363636,
    "launches15": 52,
    "launches60": 110,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 29
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 318,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9937863888888889,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.999741099537037
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.4655878468554516
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.003956456624270738,
  "shareRatio": 1.4114729110775055,
  "totalAfter": 44737,
  "shareBefore": 0.0028002154011847065,
  "totalBefore": 46425,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 177,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 130
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity