Will "trump" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 48% → FADES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

6 of 2991 launches in the last hour referenced "trump" (6 distinct creators, rank #296). Last 15m momentum 0.97×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.027348233519093188,
      "momentum": -0.029312159502300154,
      "diversity": 0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.47717219384483645
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "trump",
    "rank60": 296,
    "share15": 0.002109704641350211,
    "share60": 0.0021724598930481284,
    "total15": 710,
    "total60": 2991,
    "momentum": 0.9711132749107432,
    "diversity": 1,
    "launches15": 1,
    "launches60": 6,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 6
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 350,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9977152777777778,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.999619212962963
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.47717219384483645
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.006279434850863423,
  "shareRatio": 1.049046841642597,
  "totalAfter": 15925,
  "shareBefore": 0.005981436919903747,
  "totalBefore": 14545,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 100,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 87
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity