Will "quantum" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 44% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

115 of 1256 launches in the last hour referenced "quantum" (67 distinct creators, rank #1). Last 15m momentum 0.80×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.47032413238937243,
      "momentum": -0.22148818850626542,
      "diversity": -0.20086956521739133
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.43732301904736565
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "quantum",
    "rank60": 1,
    "share15": 0.07363013698630137,
    "share60": 0.09188544152744631,
    "total15": 291,
    "total60": 1256,
    "momentum": 0.8013253869418253,
    "diversity": 0.5826086956521739,
    "launches15": 21,
    "launches60": 115,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 67
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 124,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9993702777777778,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9993702777777778
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.43732301904736565
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.1286549707602339,
  "shareRatio": 1.4035405329228368,
  "totalAfter": 1197,
  "shareBefore": 0.09156050955414012,
  "totalBefore": 1256,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 154,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 115
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity