Will "boss" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 13% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

69 of 2436 launches in the last hour referenced "boss" (36 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 0.18×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3937002888244739,
      "momentum": -1.7136030365996846,
      "diversity": -0.2739130434782609
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.1308100072233333
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "boss",
    "rank60": 3,
    "share15": 0.005139500734214391,
    "share60": 0.028518670496512105,
    "total15": 680,
    "total60": 2436,
    "momentum": 0.18021529912633769,
    "diversity": 0.5217391304347826,
    "launches15": 3,
    "launches60": 69,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 36
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 399,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9971438888888889,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9971438888888889
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.1308100072233333
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0016899028305872412,
  "shareRatio": 0.06696298366712036,
  "totalAfter": 2367,
  "shareBefore": 0.028186274509803922,
  "totalBefore": 2448,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 4,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 69
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity