Will "microcap" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 69% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

55 of 2798 launches in the last hour referenced "microcap" (38 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 3.68×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.35968429091975557,
      "momentum": 1.3023841316537679,
      "diversity": -0.0709090909090909
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6929211234263055
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "microcap",
    "rank60": 5,
    "share15": 0.07293035479632064,
    "share60": 0.01982851018220793,
    "total15": 760,
    "total60": 2798,
    "momentum": 3.6780551905387653,
    "diversity": 0.6909090909090909,
    "launches15": 55,
    "launches60": 55,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 38
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 391,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9932577777777778,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9988762962962963
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6929211234263055
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0005313092979127135,
  "shareRatio": 0.1649908104826138,
  "totalAfter": 13175,
  "shareBefore": 0.0034191222180778315,
  "totalBefore": 16086,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 7,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 55
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity