Will "crypto" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 50% → FADES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

29 of 2798 launches in the last hour referenced "crypto" (27 distinct creators, rank #27). Last 15m momentum 0.94×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.263678687632856,
      "momentum": -0.06710311114974168,
      "diversity": 0.2172413793103448
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.497417990215792
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "crypto",
    "rank60": 27,
    "share15": 0.00985545335085414,
    "share60": 0.010539478385137548,
    "total15": 760,
    "total60": 2798,
    "momentum": 0.9350987772556182,
    "diversity": 0.9310344827586207,
    "launches15": 7,
    "launches60": 29,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 27
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 391,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9932577777777778,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9988762962962963
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.497417990215792
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.00857685009487666,
  "shareRatio": 1.0700832565586664,
  "totalAfter": 13175,
  "shareBefore": 0.008019395747855278,
  "totalBefore": 16086,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 113,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 129
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity