Will "final" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 43% → FADES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

8 of 2798 launches in the last hour referenced "final" (5 distinct creators, rank #198). Last 15m momentum 1.08×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.07050054438686033,
      "momentum": 0.07860870003165185,
      "diversity": -0.15
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.42544861049702976
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "final",
    "rank60": 198,
    "share15": 0.0032851511169513796,
    "share60": 0.003036798856734548,
    "total15": 760,
    "total60": 2798,
    "momentum": 1.0817809383937542,
    "diversity": 0.625,
    "launches15": 2,
    "launches60": 8,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 5
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 391,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9932577777777778,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9997190740740741
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.42544861049702976
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0009507687313034807,
  "shareRatio": 1.04287505380356,
  "totalAfter": 43123,
  "shareBefore": 0.0009124276797378844,
  "totalBefore": 48223,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 41,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 44
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity