Will "minutes" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 55% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

6 of 2724 launches in the last hour referenced "minutes" (6 distinct creators, rank #245). Last 15m momentum 1.90×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.027348233519093188,
      "momentum": 0.6393542605475733,
      "diversity": 0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5457098285843647
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "minutes",
    "rank60": 245,
    "share15": 0.0045207956600361665,
    "share60": 0.0023853211009174312,
    "total15": 552,
    "total60": 2724,
    "momentum": 1.895256642092085,
    "diversity": 1,
    "launches15": 2,
    "launches60": 6,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 6
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 292,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9921144444444444,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9996714351851852
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5457098285843647
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0018109976950938427,
  "shareRatio": 0.7928406818490992,
  "totalAfter": 42518,
  "shareBefore": 0.0022888857380137335,
  "totalBefore": 49369,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 77,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 113
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity