Will "pepe" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 59% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

43 of 2045 launches in the last hour referenced "pepe" (29 distinct creators, rank #10). Last 15m momentum 2.91×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3227643304889193,
      "momentum": 1.0692424506572342,
      "diversity": -0.09069767441860467
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5867762973986062
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "pepe",
    "rank60": 10,
    "share15": 0.061936936936936936,
    "share60": 0.02126099706744868,
    "total15": 443,
    "total60": 2045,
    "momentum": 2.9131717924821374,
    "diversity": 0.6744186046511628,
    "launches15": 27,
    "launches60": 43,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 29
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 247,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9976927777777778,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999038657407407
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5867762973986062
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.00609969852064783,
  "shareRatio": 0.8958915773394167,
  "totalAfter": 42789,
  "shareBefore": 0.006811409110259685,
  "totalBefore": 49329,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 261,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 336
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity