Will "energy" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 55% → ACCELERATES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

31 of 1451 launches in the last hour referenced "energy" (10 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 2.63×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.27368239380765685,
      "momentum": 0.9653391938624065,
      "diversity": -0.5129032258064516
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5518832831796605
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "energy",
    "rank60": 4,
    "share15": 0.056962025316455694,
    "share60": 0.02169421487603306,
    "total15": 394,
    "total60": 1451,
    "momentum": 2.625678119349005,
    "diversity": 0.3225806451612903,
    "launches15": 22,
    "launches60": 31,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 10
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 159,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9999083333333333,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999847222222222
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5518832831796605
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.017826728738503463,
  "shareRatio": 2.4473039373942687,
  "totalAfter": 8807,
  "shareBefore": 0.00727247541210694,
  "totalBefore": 14438,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 157,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 105
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity