Will "bread" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 56% → ACCELERATES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

27 of 1451 launches in the last hour referenced "bread" (14 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 3.01×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.2529598430355343,
      "momentum": 1.1011407350214684,
      "diversity": -0.2777777777777778
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5592605056114563
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "bread",
    "rank60": 8,
    "share15": 0.056962025316455694,
    "share60": 0.01893939393939394,
    "total15": 394,
    "total60": 1451,
    "momentum": 3.007594936708861,
    "diversity": 0.5185185185185185,
    "launches15": 22,
    "launches60": 27,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 14
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 159,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9999083333333333,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999961805555555
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5592605056114563
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0009250693802035153,
  "shareRatio": 0.910107774959638,
  "totalAfter": 43240,
  "shareBefore": 0.0010189525168127166,
  "totalBefore": 49070,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 40,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 50
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity