Will "cat" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 52% → ACCELERATES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

57 of 1545 launches in the last hour referenced "cat" (39 distinct creators, rank #1). Last 15m momentum 1.29×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3650420033100675,
      "momentum": 0.25727121508465733,
      "diversity": -0.07894736842105261
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5200782209811758
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "cat",
    "rank60": 1,
    "share15": 0.048104956268221574,
    "share60": 0.03719275549805951,
    "total15": 342,
    "total60": 1545,
    "momentum": 1.2933958676638355,
    "diversity": 0.6842105263157895,
    "launches15": 16,
    "launches60": 57,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 39
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 169,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9938066666666666,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9989677777777778
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5200782209811758
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.04647550776583035,
  "shareRatio": 1.2298398001314899,
  "totalAfter": 8370,
  "shareBefore": 0.0377988614800759,
  "totalBefore": 13175,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 389,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 498
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity