Will "tech" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 57% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

36 of 1435 launches in the last hour referenced "tech" (26 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 2.37×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.2961121539033014,
      "momentum": 0.8608468978805692,
      "diversity": -0.03333333333333335
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.565081880420489
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "tech",
    "rank60": 5,
    "share15": 0.060117302052785926,
    "share60": 0.02541782729805014,
    "total15": 340,
    "total60": 1435,
    "momentum": 2.365162897200016,
    "diversity": 0.7222222222222222,
    "launches15": 20,
    "launches60": 36,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 26
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 166,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9990886111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.999962025462963
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.565081880420489
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.003030094346119413,
  "shareRatio": 0.5034178307362549,
  "totalAfter": 43563,
  "shareBefore": 0.006031536909712216,
  "totalBefore": 48578,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 132,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 293
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity