Will "quantum" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 45% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

79 of 2349 launches in the last hour referenced "quantum" (58 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 0.74×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.41400149100493816,
      "momentum": -0.3043160079241794,
      "diversity": -0.018987341772151865
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.4478647218534382
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "quantum",
    "rank60": 2,
    "share15": 0.024953789279112754,
    "share60": 0.033829787234042556,
    "total15": 540,
    "total60": 2349,
    "momentum": 0.7376277334077355,
    "diversity": 0.7341772151898734,
    "launches15": 13,
    "launches60": 79,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 58
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 398,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9921377777777778,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9921377777777778
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.4478647218534382
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.04402054292002935,
  "shareRatio": 1.316183609975253,
  "totalAfter": 2726,
  "shareBefore": 0.033375580904098014,
  "totalBefore": 2367,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 120,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 79
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity