Will "superintelligence" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 15% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

37 of 1654 launches in the last hour referenced "superintelligence" (21 distinct creators, rank #11). Last 15m momentum 0.21×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3002220000315186,
      "momentum": -1.5503227248665197,
      "diversity": -0.21891891891891893
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.14566428817431004
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "superintelligence",
    "rank60": 11,
    "share15": 0.004807692307692308,
    "share60": 0.022658610271903322,
    "total15": 311,
    "total60": 1654,
    "momentum": 0.2121794871794872,
    "diversity": 0.5675675675675675,
    "launches15": 1,
    "launches60": 37,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 21
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 144,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9949388888888889,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9949388888888889
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.14566428817431004
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0,
  "shareRatio": 0.016191172884662278,
  "totalAfter": 1366,
  "shareBefore": 0.02230259192284509,
  "totalBefore": 1659,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 0,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 37
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity