Will "dog" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 43% → FADES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

34 of 1654 launches in the last hour referenced "dog" (28 distinct creators, rank #13). Last 15m momentum 0.69×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.28753839182730917,
      "momentum": -0.3683288272593591,
      "diversity": 0.08823529411764701
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.426831945040725
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "dog",
    "rank60": 13,
    "share15": 0.014423076923076924,
    "share60": 0.02084592145015106,
    "total15": 311,
    "total60": 1654,
    "momentum": 0.6918896321070234,
    "diversity": 0.8235294117647058,
    "launches15": 4,
    "launches60": 34,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 28
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 144,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9949388888888889,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9991564814814815
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.426831945040725
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.014067194755531276,
  "shareRatio": 1.0393596571392556,
  "totalAfter": 7322,
  "shareBefore": 0.013549865497658664,
  "totalBefore": 10037,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 103,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 136
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity