Will "uxento" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 44% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

33 of 1654 launches in the last hour referenced "uxento" (14 distinct creators, rank #14). Last 15m momentum 1.19×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.28306044735485697,
      "momentum": 0.17191068171292506,
      "diversity": -0.3909090909090909
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.4365547002884776
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "uxento",
    "rank60": 14,
    "share15": 0.02403846153846154,
    "share60": 0.0202416918429003,
    "total15": 311,
    "total60": 1654,
    "momentum": 1.1875717566016075,
    "diversity": 0.42424242424242425,
    "launches15": 7,
    "launches60": 33,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 14
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 144,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9949388888888889,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9991564814814815
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.4365547002884776
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.031685331876536466,
  "shareRatio": 1.2187353864784438,
  "totalAfter": 7322,
  "shareBefore": 0.026003785991830227,
  "totalBefore": 10037,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 232,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 261
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity