Will "claude" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 41% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

18 of 1340 launches in the last hour referenced "claude" (3 distinct creators, rank #14). Last 15m momentum 1.44×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.19214007681930967,
      "momentum": 0.36218871971484706,
      "diversity": -0.7000000000000001
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.40785601832723484
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "claude",
    "rank60": 14,
    "share15": 0.019817073170731708,
    "share60": 0.013795674869500374,
    "total15": 327,
    "total60": 1340,
    "momentum": 1.4364700065919578,
    "diversity": 0.16666666666666666,
    "launches15": 6,
    "launches60": 18,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 3
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 100,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9996725,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999863541666667
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.40785601832723484
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0037624846080175126,
  "shareRatio": 1.239188002063812,
  "totalAfter": 43854,
  "shareBefore": 0.0030351206821795057,
  "totalBefore": 48433,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 165,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 147
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity