Will "sleep" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 56% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

106 of 1460 launches in the last hour referenced "sleep" (7 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 2.50×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.458100177251695,
      "momentum": 0.9159194433896609,
      "diversity": -0.8207547169811321
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5629799411411373
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "sleep",
    "rank60": 2,
    "share15": 0.1821705426356589,
    "share60": 0.0728952772073922,
    "total15": 386,
    "total60": 1460,
    "momentum": 2.4990719510863633,
    "diversity": 0.0660377358490566,
    "launches15": 70,
    "launches60": 106,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 7
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 116,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9941030555555556,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9941030555555556
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5629799411411373
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0,
  "shareRatio": 0.005613889973883541,
  "totalAfter": 1225,
  "shareBefore": 0.07235494880546076,
  "totalBefore": 1465,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 0,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 106
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity