Will "fox" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 73% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

89 of 2635 launches in the last hour referenced "fox" (40 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 3.42×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.43187976859470595,
      "momentum": 1.229025695697201,
      "diversity": -0.36067415730337077
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.7311040539135428
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "fox",
    "rank60": 2,
    "share15": 0.11604774535809019,
    "share60": 0.03395295902883156,
    "total15": 753,
    "total60": 2635,
    "momentum": 3.417897840937718,
    "diversity": 0.449438202247191,
    "launches15": 87,
    "launches60": 89,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 40
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 425,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9976980555555556,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9976980555555556
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.7311040539135428
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.007621951219512195,
  "shareRatio": 0.23062090981644054,
  "totalAfter": 2624,
  "shareBefore": 0.03368660105980318,
  "totalBefore": 2642,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 20,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 89
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity