Will "signal" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 66% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

6 of 2635 launches in the last hour referenced "signal" (6 distinct creators, rank #349). Last 15m momentum 1.88×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.027348233519093188,
      "momentum": 0.6325863192082183,
      "diversity": 0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6592456864761809
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "signal",
    "rank60": 349,
    "share15": 0.004641909814323607,
    "share60": 0.0024658573596358117,
    "total15": 753,
    "total60": 2635,
    "momentum": 1.8824729647010814,
    "diversity": 1,
    "launches15": 3,
    "launches60": 6,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 6
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 425,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9976980555555556,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9976980555555556
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6592456864761809
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0011432926829268292,
  "shareRatio": 0.5421538461538462,
  "totalAfter": 2624,
  "shareBefore": 0.002271006813020439,
  "totalBefore": 2642,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 3,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 6
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity