Will "agent" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 50% → FADES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

23 of 1156 launches in the last hour referenced "agent" (22 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 1.13×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.22890844552425738,
      "momentum": 0.12294058530191712,
      "diversity": 0.24782608695652175
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.4999593897229263
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "agent",
    "rank60": 5,
    "share15": 0.022968197879858657,
    "share60": 0.02031114952463267,
    "total15": 282,
    "total60": 1156,
    "momentum": 1.1308172317870837,
    "diversity": 0.9565217391304348,
    "launches15": 6,
    "launches60": 23,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 22
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 171,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9938113888888889,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9997421412037037
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.4999593897229263
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.010478046543620315,
  "shareRatio": 1.0404280010158586,
  "totalAfter": 43615,
  "shareBefore": 0.01007155561070439,
  "totalBefore": 48354,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 457,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 487
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity