Will "agent" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 66% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

30 of 1115 launches in the last hour referenced "agent" (25 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 1.84×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.2687639203842082,
      "momentum": 0.6077577651704349,
      "diversity": 0.10000000000000005
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6629619320474072
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "agent",
    "rank60": 2,
    "share15": 0.05018587360594796,
    "share60": 0.027329749103942653,
    "total15": 268,
    "total60": 1115,
    "momentum": 1.83630934243403,
    "diversity": 0.8333333333333334,
    "launches15": 13,
    "launches60": 30,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 25
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 178,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9993772222222223,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9993772222222223
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6629619320474072
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.014178482068390326,
  "shareRatio": 0.5171296296296296,
  "totalAfter": 1199,
  "shareBefore": 0.027777777777777776,
  "totalBefore": 1116,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 17,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 31
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity