Will "called" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 48% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

5 of 1115 launches in the last hour referenced "called" (3 distinct creators, rank #154). Last 15m momentum 1.89×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0,
      "momentum": 0.6343374029751472,
      "diversity": -0.18000000000000002
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.4818002195674026
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "called",
    "rank60": 154,
    "share15": 0.00929368029739777,
    "share60": 0.00492831541218638,
    "total15": 268,
    "total60": 1115,
    "momentum": 1.8857722203447114,
    "diversity": 0.6,
    "launches15": 2,
    "launches60": 5,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 3
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 178,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9993772222222223,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.999974050925926
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.4818002195674026
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0007998720204767237,
  "shareRatio": 0.5389250596147148,
  "totalAfter": 43757,
  "shareBefore": 0.001495016611295681,
  "totalBefore": 48160,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 35,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 72
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity