Will "subs" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 59% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

62 of 2635 launches in the last hour referenced "subs" (11 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 3.50×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.37765447089164866,
      "momentum": 1.2516255276144417,
      "diversity": -0.6870967741935483
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5889262335907621
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "subs",
    "rank60": 6,
    "share15": 0.08289124668435013,
    "share60": 0.023710166919575115,
    "total15": 753,
    "total60": 2635,
    "momentum": 3.496021220159151,
    "diversity": 0.1774193548387097,
    "launches15": 62,
    "launches60": 62,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 11
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 425,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9976980555555556,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9996163425925926
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5889262335907621
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.00033090668431502316,
  "shareRatio": 0.0811124295202581,
  "totalAfter": 15110,
  "shareBefore": 0.004452793432129688,
  "totalBefore": 14373,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 5,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 64
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity