Will "rest" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 33% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

5 of 1185 launches in the last hour referenced "rest" (4 distinct creators, rank #167). Last 15m momentum 0.40×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0,
      "momentum": -0.9068023516409494,
      "diversity": 0.06000000000000005
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.32664446098248445
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "rest",
    "rank60": 167,
    "share15": 0.0018726591760299626,
    "share60": 0.00463743676222597,
    "total15": 266,
    "total60": 1185,
    "momentum": 0.4038134150493701,
    "diversity": 0.8,
    "launches15": 0,
    "launches60": 5,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 4
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 114,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9929836111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.999707650462963
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.32664446098248445
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0015585963464667997,
  "shareRatio": 1.1356325147041337,
  "totalAfter": 43629,
  "shareBefore": 0.001372141372141372,
  "totalBefore": 48100,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 68,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 66
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity