Will "born" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 43% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

26 of 1177 launches in the last hour referenced "born" (5 distinct creators, rank #7). Last 15m momentum 1.58×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.24729879383810724,
      "momentum": 0.4554444340587728,
      "diversity": -0.6692307692307692
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.42965870252524996
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "born",
    "rank60": 7,
    "share15": 0.03547297297297297,
    "share60": 0.022495755517826826,
    "total15": 295,
    "total60": 1177,
    "momentum": 1.5768740438551758,
    "diversity": 0.19230769230769232,
    "launches15": 10,
    "launches60": 26,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 5
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 156,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9957491666666667,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998228819444445
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.42965870252524996
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.005617201528615498,
  "shareRatio": 1.4276186836713551,
  "totalAfter": 43438,
  "shareBefore": 0.003932206241063167,
  "totalBefore": 47556,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 244,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 187
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity