Will "achi" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 30% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

37 of 1208 launches in the last hour referenced "achi" (27 distinct creators, rank #7). Last 15m momentum 0.24×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3002220000315186,
      "momentum": -1.4156363194039059,
      "diversity": -0.024324324324324343
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.2952814941345579
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "achi",
    "rank60": 7,
    "share15": 0.007530120481927711,
    "share60": 0.031017369727047148,
    "total15": 331,
    "total60": 1208,
    "momentum": 0.2427710843373494,
    "diversity": 0.7297297297297297,
    "launches15": 2,
    "launches60": 37,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 27
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 136,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9946458333333333,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9997769097222222
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.2952814941345579
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.00011442433118978419,
  "shareRatio": 0.1492586342045026,
  "totalAfter": 43697,
  "shareBefore": 0.0008326039153732841,
  "totalBefore": 46841,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 5,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 39
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity