Will "cat" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 62% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

50 of 1231 launches in the last hour referenced "cat" (38 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 1.56×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.34538776394910686,
      "momentum": 0.443493582353549,
      "diversity": 0.01200000000000001
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6226664284894888
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "cat",
    "rank60": 3,
    "share15": 0.06386861313868614,
    "share60": 0.040990259740259744,
    "total15": 273,
    "total60": 1231,
    "momentum": 1.558141215581412,
    "diversity": 0.76,
    "launches15": 17,
    "launches60": 50,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 38
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 146,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9999197222222223,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999197222222223
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6226664284894888
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.03420891875381796,
  "shareRatio": 0.8414995345688415,
  "totalAfter": 1637,
  "shareBefore": 0.04061738424045491,
  "totalBefore": 1231,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 56,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 50
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity