Will "worm" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 57% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

38 of 1231 launches in the last hour referenced "worm" (17 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 1.93×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3042222370938428,
      "momentum": 0.6559681773181913,
      "diversity": -0.36315789473684207
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5737169318273483
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "worm",
    "rank60": 6,
    "share15": 0.060218978102189784,
    "share60": 0.03125,
    "total15": 273,
    "total60": 1231,
    "momentum": 1.927007299270073,
    "diversity": 0.4473684210526316,
    "launches15": 16,
    "launches60": 38,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 17
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 146,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9999197222222223,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999197222222223
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5737169318273483
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0030543677458766036,
  "shareRatio": 0.10744810744810745,
  "totalAfter": 1637,
  "shareBefore": 0.030869212022745736,
  "totalBefore": 1231,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 5,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 38
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity