Will "musk" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 33% → FADES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

12 of 1313 launches in the last hour referenced "musk" (8 distinct creators, rank #33). Last 15m momentum 0.43×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.13132031060308497,
      "momentum": -0.8502289811960624,
      "diversity": -0.10000000000000005
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.3297194233527493
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "musk",
    "rank60": 33,
    "share15": 0.0040650406504065045,
    "share60": 0.009512937595129375,
    "total15": 368,
    "total60": 1313,
    "momentum": 0.42731707317073175,
    "diversity": 0.6666666666666666,
    "launches15": 1,
    "launches60": 12,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 8
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 134,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9974116666666667,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998921527777778
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.3297194233527493
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0036114285714285714,
  "shareRatio": 0.931123643556671,
  "totalAfter": 43750,
  "shareBefore": 0.0038800017340789874,
  "totalBefore": 46134,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 158,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 179
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity