Will "doge" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 13% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

49 of 1631 launches in the last hour referenced "doge" (11 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 0.28×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.34235735785147897,
      "momentum": -1.270241380051459,
      "diversity": -0.6306122448979591
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.13487842056028473
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "doge",
    "rank60": 4,
    "share15": 0.00851581508515815,
    "share60": 0.030330882352941176,
    "total15": 410,
    "total60": 1631,
    "momentum": 0.28076384280763844,
    "diversity": 0.22448979591836735,
    "launches15": 3,
    "launches60": 49,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 11
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 193,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9957286111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9957286111111111
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.13487842056028473
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.008174386920980926,
  "shareRatio": 0.27936224995048525,
  "totalAfter": 1835,
  "shareBefore": 0.029932803909590716,
  "totalBefore": 1637,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 15,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 49
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity