Will "finally" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 23% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

41 of 1631 launches in the last hour referenced "finally" (4 distinct creators, rank #7). Last 15m momentum 0.43×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3156201231405311,
      "momentum": -0.8426477094325608,
      "diversity": -0.7829268292682927
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.2284704503310537
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "finally",
    "rank60": 7,
    "share15": 0.010948905109489052,
    "share60": 0.02542892156862745,
    "total15": 410,
    "total60": 1631,
    "momentum": 0.43056899129364173,
    "diversity": 0.0975609756097561,
    "launches15": 4,
    "launches60": 41,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 4
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 193,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9957286111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9992881018518519
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.2284704503310537
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.004429171439480717,
  "shareRatio": 0.7597002506688012,
  "totalAfter": 13095,
  "shareBefore": 0.005813167500337975,
  "totalBefore": 7397,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 58,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 43
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity