Will "william" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 61% → ACCELERATES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

40 of 1631 launches in the last hour referenced "william" (23 distinct creators, rank #10). Last 15m momentum 3.97×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3119162312519754,
      "momentum": 1.3789683210278179,
      "diversity": -0.21000000000000005
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6083644112499069
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "william",
    "rank60": 10,
    "share15": 0.09854014598540146,
    "share60": 0.024816176470588234,
    "total15": 410,
    "total60": 1631,
    "momentum": 3.9708029197080297,
    "diversity": 0.575,
    "launches15": 40,
    "launches60": 40,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 23
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 193,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9957286111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.999822025462963
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6083644112499069
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0037538053056833526,
  "shareRatio": 3.8185379509481137,
  "totalAfter": 43689,
  "shareBefore": 0.0009752080443828017,
  "totalBefore": 46144,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 164,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 45
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity