Will "finance" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 55% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

126 of 2605 launches in the last hour referenced "finance" (64 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 1.39×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.4840265991776066,
      "momentum": 0.32574409311095337,
      "diversity": -0.2904761904761905
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5546049708667918
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "finance",
    "rank60": 3,
    "share15": 0.06723338485316847,
    "share60": 0.04854182655410591,
    "total15": 646,
    "total60": 2605,
    "momentum": 1.385060876896103,
    "diversity": 0.5079365079365079,
    "launches15": 43,
    "launches60": 126,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 64
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 377,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9921322222222222,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9921322222222222
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5546049708667918
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.002562225475841874,
  "shareRatio": 0.056945631565017814,
  "totalAfter": 2732,
  "shareBefore": 0.04801829268292683,
  "totalBefore": 2624,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 7,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 126
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity