Will "private" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 57% → ACCELERATES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

7 of 2605 launches in the last hour referenced "private" (6 distinct creators, rank #222). Last 15m momentum 1.88×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.050470835493181924,
      "momentum": 0.631085411136993,
      "diversity": 0.1285714285714285
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5663782111296434
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "private",
    "rank60": 222,
    "share15": 0.005409582689335394,
    "share60": 0.0028779739063699156,
    "total15": 646,
    "total60": 2605,
    "momentum": 1.8796496651210715,
    "diversity": 0.8571428571428571,
    "launches15": 3,
    "launches60": 7,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 6
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 377,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9921322222222222,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9986887037037037
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5663782111296434
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.003335148380070787,
  "shareRatio": 1.2421031935086249,
  "totalAfter": 14692,
  "shareBefore": 0.002678990020762173,
  "totalBefore": 14931,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 49,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 40
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity