Will "tacos" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 63% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

12 of 2443 launches in the last hour referenced "tacos" (8 distinct creators, rank #84). Last 15m momentum 3.20×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.13132031060308497,
      "momentum": 1.1640763073266236,
      "diversity": -0.10000000000000005
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.631062495061172
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "tacos",
    "rank60": 84,
    "share15": 0.01638176638176638,
    "share60": 0.005114566284779051,
    "total15": 701,
    "total60": 2443,
    "momentum": 3.2029629629629626,
    "diversity": 0.6666666666666666,
    "launches15": 11,
    "launches60": 12,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 8
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 297,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9946422222222222,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9991070370370371
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.631062495061172
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.00006667555674089879,
  "shareRatio": 0.08528568571238082,
  "totalAfter": 14998,
  "shareBefore": 0.001125809175344779,
  "totalBefore": 10659,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 1,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 12
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity