Will "cdm" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 61% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

60 of 2289 launches in the last hour referenced "cdm" (34 distinct creators, rank #7). Last 15m momentum 3.86×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3727359974682,
      "momentum": 1.3514685942204931,
      "diversity": -0.22
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6111389572047181
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "cdm",
    "rank60": 7,
    "share15": 0.10205992509363296,
    "share60": 0.026419213973799125,
    "total15": 533,
    "total60": 2289,
    "momentum": 3.8630946853623054,
    "diversity": 0.5666666666666667,
    "launches15": 54,
    "launches60": 60,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 34
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 270,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9963302777777778,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998470949074074
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6111389572047181
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.000023466466419486555,
  "shareRatio": 0.025588708434057382,
  "totalAfter": 42614,
  "shareBefore": 0.0013642254609945203,
  "totalBefore": 43981,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 1,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 60
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity