Will "feed" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 20% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

12 of 2289 launches in the last hour referenced "feed" (3 distinct creators, rank #83). Last 15m momentum 0.17×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.13132031060308497,
      "momentum": -1.7629645672801102,
      "diversity": -0.6
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.1953173776818666
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "feed",
    "rank60": 83,
    "share15": 0.0009363295880149813,
    "share60": 0.0054585152838427945,
    "total15": 533,
    "total60": 2289,
    "momentum": 0.1715355805243446,
    "diversity": 0.25,
    "launches15": 0,
    "launches60": 12,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 3
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 270,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9963302777777778,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998470949074074
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.1953173776818666
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0007509269254235698,
  "shareRatio": 0.7371985048859389,
  "totalAfter": 42614,
  "shareBefore": 0.0010231690957458904,
  "totalBefore": 43981,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 32,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 45
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity